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Market Milestones 2025: Strong Gains and Global Resilience

Source: Weekly market wrap (2025-11-29)

This week’s market update highlights a remarkable year for investors, with the TSX on track for its strongest annual return since 2009 and the S&P 500 experiencing its third consecutive double-digit gain, approximately 15%. Despite volatility, including a near bear-market correction in April, markets have rewarded steadfast investors. Overseas equities, represented by the MSCI All Country World Index (ex-U.S.), surged 23%, buoyed by a weaker U.S. dollar and improving global growth prospects. As of late November 2025, these gains reflect a resilient economic landscape amid ongoing policy shifts and global uncertainties. Recent facts further underscore this positive outlook: 1. **Global GDP Growth**: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised global GDP growth forecast upward to 3.2% for 2025, driven by recovery in emerging markets and technological innovation. 2. **Inflation Trends**: Inflation rates in major economies have stabilized around 2%, allowing central banks to maintain accommodative policies without risking runaway inflation. 3. **Labor Market Strength**: U.S. employment figures show a steady addition of jobs, with unemployment at a 50-year low of 3.4%, supporting consumer spending. 4. **Corporate Earnings**: S&P 500 companies reported an average earnings growth of 12% in Q3 2025, surpassing analyst expectations and fueling market confidence. 5. **Technological Advancements**: Breakthroughs in AI, renewable energy, and biotech sectors have driven innovation-led growth, attracting investor interest globally. 6. **Geopolitical Stability**: Recent diplomatic efforts have eased tensions in key regions, reducing geopolitical risks that previously unsettled markets. Looking ahead, experts suggest that while some uncertainties remain—such as policy adjustments and global economic shifts—the overall outlook remains positive. Investors are encouraged to stay diversified and aligned with long-term goals, as the current environment offers opportunities for growth despite ongoing skepticism. As we approach the end of 2025, the market’s resilience and strategic positioning highlight a year of notable progress, setting a promising stage for 2026.

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