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Tennessee 7th District Race Tightens: Key Voter Trends Unveiled

Source: Tennessee 7th District 2025 Special Election Poll: Republican Van Epps and Democrat Behn Locked In Tight Race (2025-11-26)

A recent Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey reveals a razor-thin contest in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District special election, with Republican Matt Van Epps leading Democrat Aftyn Behn by just 2 percentage points (48% to 46%). When factoring in undecided voters, Van Epps’s support rises slightly to 49%, while Behn’s climbs to 47%. Early voting trends favor Behn, with 56% of early voters supporting her, compared to 51% of Election Day voters backing Van Epps. The race is heavily influenced by demographic and behavioral factors: voters under 40 favor Behn (64%), while support for Van Epps increases with age, especially among those over 70 (61%). Gender divides are prominent, with men favoring Van Epps (51%) and women supporting Behn (50%). Both candidates hold a 47% favorable rating, with 41% unfavorable. This election underscores the importance of voter motivation and turnout, especially among different age groups and genders, as the district’s political landscape continues to evolve amid national debates on economic policy and leadership performance. In addition to the current polling data, recent developments in Tennessee’s political climate suggest that economic issues remain at the forefront for voters, with inflation and job security ranking as top concerns. The district has seen increased campaign activity, including targeted advertising aimed at young voters and women, reflecting their pivotal roles in the outcome. Nationally, the Republican Party is focusing on economic recovery and tax policies, while Democrats emphasize healthcare and social programs, which could sway undecided voters. The district’s demographic composition, with a significant proportion of working-class families and college-educated voters, makes it a microcosm of broader national trends. Experts predict that turnout among early voters and mobilization efforts in key communities will be decisive. The race also highlights the growing influence of social media campaigns and grassroots organizing, which are increasingly shaping voter perceptions and engagement. As the election approaches, both campaigns are intensifying efforts to energize their bases, knowing that even a small shift in voter turnout could determine the district’s representation in Congress. This contest exemplifies the dynamic and competitive nature of local elections in the current political environment, where every vote counts and strategic outreach can make the difference between victory and defeat.

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