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Thanksgiving Turkey Prices Soar: Inflation, Bird Flu, and Tariffs Drive Costs

Source: The factors influencing turkey prices this Thanksgiving (2025-11-27)

This Thanksgiving, many Americans are noticing higher prices on their holiday turkey, a trend driven by a complex mix of economic and health factors. According to PBS News, inflation, tariffs, and bird flu outbreaks are significantly impacting turkey costs this year. Beyond these, recent developments include a 15% increase in feed prices for poultry farmers, supply chain disruptions caused by extreme weather events, rising labor costs in processing plants, increased demand for organic and free-range turkeys, and government tariffs on imported poultry that have affected overall supply. Additionally, the U.S. Department of Agriculture reports that turkey production has decreased by 8% compared to last year, further tightening supply. The ongoing avian influenza outbreaks have led to the culling of millions of birds, reducing available stock and elevating prices. Meanwhile, consumer preferences are shifting toward premium turkey options, which are more expensive, and the holiday season's inflation rate has reached 4.2%, the highest in a decade. Experts predict that these factors will keep turkey prices elevated through the holiday season, with some estimates suggesting a 10-15% increase in average costs compared to 2024. This trend underscores the broader economic challenges facing the food supply chain, including rising transportation costs and labor shortages. As families prepare for Thanksgiving, understanding these factors can help manage expectations and budget accordingly. Looking ahead, analysts forecast that unless inflation subsides and bird flu outbreaks are contained, turkey prices may remain high into early 2026, prompting consumers to explore alternative proteins or adjust their holiday menus. Staying informed about these economic and health developments is crucial for consumers and policymakers alike, as they navigate the evolving landscape of food prices and supply stability.

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