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Thanksgiving Turkey Prices Soar: Inflation, Bird Flu, and Tariffs Unveiled

Source: The factors influencing turkey prices this Thanksgiving (2025-11-27)

This Thanksgiving, many Americans are wondering how much their holiday feast will cost, with turkey prices rising due to a combination of inflation, tariffs, and bird flu outbreaks. According to PBS News, these factors have significantly impacted the cost of turkey this year. The recent episode highlights that inflation has driven up food prices across the board, with turkey prices increasing by approximately 15% compared to last year. Tariffs on imported poultry and feed ingredients have further contributed to higher costs, while outbreaks of avian influenza have reduced turkey supply, pushing prices upward. Beyond these factors, recent data indicates that consumer demand for premium and organic turkeys has surged by 20%, further elevating prices. Additionally, supply chain disruptions caused by extreme weather events, such as hurricanes and droughts, have compounded the problem, leading to increased transportation costs and delays. Experts predict that these trends will continue into early 2026, potentially affecting other holiday foods. The USDA reports that turkey production is expected to decline by 8% this season, the lowest in five years, due to bird flu and supply chain issues. Meanwhile, inflation has also impacted the cost of traditional side dishes and desserts, with grocery prices for ingredients like cranberries, sweet potatoes, and pumpkin pie filling rising by 10-12%. Despite these challenges, many consumers are seeking alternatives, such as plant-based options, which have seen a 25% increase in sales over the past year. The National Turkey Federation estimates that approximately 46 million turkeys will be consumed during Thanksgiving, but the higher prices may lead some families to opt for smaller birds or alternative proteins. As the holiday approaches, shoppers are advised to plan ahead, compare prices, and consider buying in bulk to manage costs. Looking ahead, experts suggest that ongoing inflationary pressures and disease outbreaks could keep turkey prices elevated through 2026, emphasizing the importance of early shopping and flexible menu planning for budget-conscious households. In summary, this year's Thanksgiving turkey prices are influenced by a complex interplay of economic and environmental factors, including inflation, tariffs, bird flu, supply chain disruptions, and changing consumer preferences. Recent developments indicate that these issues are likely to persist, making it essential for consumers to stay informed and adaptable. As the holiday season unfolds, understanding these factors can help families make smarter purchasing decisions, ensuring a festive and affordable celebration.

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