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Xi Jinping’s Grip Tightens: Elite Reshuffle Ahead of 2027 Party Congress

Source: The Dictator’s Dilemma toward the 21st Party Congress: Elite Reshuffling and Power Restructuring (2025-12-01)

Amidst ongoing power consolidation, China’s 21st Party Congress in 2027 is set to reaffirm Xi Jinping’s leadership for a historic fourth term, marking a significant milestone in Chinese politics. Recent elite purges, including high-profile removals of Central Committee members and PLA generals, highlight the regime’s efforts to tighten control amid rising factional tensions. These moves are analyzed through the lens of the “dictator’s dilemma,” illustrating how Xi balances elite loyalty with the risk of internal dissent. The upcoming congress will likely feature strategic cadre evaluations, factional realignments, and a carefully curated Central Committee composition to reinforce Xi’s authority. Notably, Xi’s removal of term limits in 2022 has eliminated formal barriers to indefinite leadership, raising concerns about the longevity of his rule. Recent developments include increased surveillance of political rivals, a crackdown on corruption as a tool for consolidating power, and a shift toward technocratic governance to stabilize the regime. The Chinese Communist Party’s internal dynamics are also influenced by external factors such as economic challenges, international diplomatic pressures, and technological competition with the West. As China navigates these complex issues, the 2027 congress will serve as a pivotal moment for the regime’s future direction, signaling whether Xi’s centralized control will persist or face new internal challenges. This reshuffling and strategic positioning are critical for understanding China’s political trajectory in the coming years, especially as the country seeks to project stability amid global uncertainties.

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