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Tennessee 7th District Tight Race: Van Epps vs. Behn

Source: Tennessee 7th District 2025 Special Election Poll: Republican Van Epps and Democrat Behn Locked In Tight Race (2025-11-26)

A recent Emerson College Polling indicates a razor-thin contest in Tennessee’s 7th Congressional District special election, with Republican Matt Van Epps leading Democrat Aftyn Behn by just 2 percentage points (48% to 46%). When factoring in undecided voters, support shifts slightly to 49% for Van Epps and 47% for Behn. Early voting trends favor Behn, with 56% of early voters supporting her, while Election Day voters lean toward Van Epps, at 51%. The race is heavily influenced by demographic and behavioral factors: voters under 40 favor Behn (64%), older voters over 70 lean toward Van Epps (61%), and gender divides are prominent—men favor Van Epps (51%), women support Behn (50%). Both candidates hold a 47% favorable rating, with 41% unfavorable. This election underscores the importance of voter turnout, especially among different age groups and genders, as the district’s political landscape continues to evolve amid national debates on economic policy and leadership performance. Recent developments in Tennessee’s 7th District race include a surge in early voting among young voters, who tend to favor Behn, reflecting broader youth engagement initiatives and concerns over education and climate policies. Additionally, the district has seen increased campaign activity from third-party candidates, although they currently garner only 2% support, indicating a polarized but competitive environment. The district’s economic concerns are paramount, with voters split on Trump’s job performance, highlighting the ongoing influence of national politics on local races. Experts predict that turnout among women and younger voters could be decisive, especially as economic issues such as inflation, healthcare, and job security remain top priorities. The race is also being closely watched as a potential bellwether for national political trends, with both parties investing heavily in GOTV (Get Out The Vote) efforts. As the election approaches, political analysts emphasize the importance of campaign messaging that resonates across demographic divides, and the potential impact of recent economic data showing mixed signals on the U.S. economy’s recovery trajectory. The outcome could have significant implications for the balance of power in Congress, especially as the nation grapples with ongoing economic challenges and political polarization.

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